🏠 Euro area house prices keep rising as mortgage costs stay sticky

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Euro area house prices rose 4.0% year on year in the second quarter of 2026, while EU prices climbed 4.7%, according to Eurostat. The latest data show housing inflation is still running ahead of broader price pressures in much of the bloc.

Eurostat said the gain in the euro area followed a pattern of persistent price growth despite higher-for-longer borrowing costs. The European Central Bank’s August bank interest rate statistics showed the composite cost of household house-purchase borrowing at 3.60%, while its September Consumer Expectations Survey found households still expected mortgage rates to be 4.9% in 12 months.

Why it matters for investors

The combination of rising prices and sticky mortgage costs points to a market where affordability remains the central constraint, rather than a collapse in underlying demand. For residential investors, that tends to support select markets with constrained supply and stronger income resilience, while limiting transaction volumes where financing conditions remain tight. Euro area housing is therefore likely to stay fragmented, with price growth sustained in better-capitalised and supply-short locations even as credit-sensitive markets cool.

➡️ Euro area housing inflation remains positive despite restrictive financing conditions.

➡️ Mortgage pricing is still not easing fast enough to restore broad affordability.

The data suggest the next phase of the cycle will be shaped less by a sharp price correction and more by uneven demand, tighter credit and continued divergence across national housing markets.

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